Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.94
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çaykur Rizespor (Local): 50.17%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 22.24%; Draw: 27.60%. For Alanyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV +2.30%E +0.500%K +0.639%G +0.015% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.99%EV +1.86%E +0.405%K +0.518%G +0.010% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 09:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.99%EV +1.86%E +0.405%K +0.518%G +0.010% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.77%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44%EV +0.077%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.80%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-07 16:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +0.077%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.99%EV -1.92%E -0.436%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.03%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 16:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.34%EV -6.69%E -3.60%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -2.15%E -0.488%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.15%E -0.488%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.70%E -4.78%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.84%EV -5.71%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.84%EV -5.71%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -9.93%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.76%EV -9.49%E -2.89%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 16:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.60%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.99%EV -9.93%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-07 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -10.71%E -6.01%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-07 16:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.46%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.15%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.48%EV -7.70%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.18%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.18%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -8.70%E -4.78%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -14.38%E -3.73%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.4% | 2026-09-07 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |