Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Çaykur Rizespor v Alanyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC

Score final : Çaykur Rizespor 0–1 Alanyaspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Prévision 50.17%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.00%50.24%50.13%51.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.841.851.9456.82%54.27%54.05%51.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alanyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.24%4.50cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.500%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.74%22.15%22.24%23.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.194.204.6025.97%23.88%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -0.976%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.74%27.60%27.63%28.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.5032.26%29.64%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Çaykur Rizespor (Local) : 50.17% ; Alanyaspor (Visiteur) : 22.24% ; Match nul : 27.60%. Pour Alanyaspor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.50. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +2.30%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV +2.30%E +0.500%K +0.639%G +0.015%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.99%EV +1.86%E +0.405%K +0.518%G +0.010%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 09:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.99%EV +1.86%E +0.405%K +0.518%G +0.010%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 09:45
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.77%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44%EV +0.077%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.80%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:51
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +0.077%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:55
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.99%EV -1.92%E -0.436%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.03%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:51
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.34%EV -6.69%E -3.60%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -2.15%E -0.488%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.15%E -0.488%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 16:45
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 07:15
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 09:05
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.70%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:55
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.70%E -4.78%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.84%EV -5.71%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.84%EV -5.71%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:35
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:20
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 09:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -9.93%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.76%EV -9.49%E -2.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 16:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.60%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.99%EV -9.93%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 09:00
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 20:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 08:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -10.71%E -6.01%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 16:51
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.46%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.15%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.48%EV -7.70%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.18%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.18%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -8.70%E -4.78%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -14.38%E -3.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-09-07 16:55
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-09-07 16:50