La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Basaksehir v Samsunspor
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Basaksehir (Casa)
Previsione 53.03%1.89quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.76%53.01%53.02%54.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.731.741.8460.98%57.65%57.47%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Samsunspor (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.76%4.39quota equa
EV +0.132%
Vantaggio +0.030%
Kelly +0.039%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.34%22.67%22.84%23.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.34%24.39%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 24.21%4.13quota equa
EV -0.723%
Vantaggio -0.176%
Kelly -0.233%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.38%24.32%24.15%25.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.823.854.1030.30%26.20%25.97%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.32%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.32%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.54%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.83%EV -0.096%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.63%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -10.91%E -6.49%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -6.67%E -3.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.28%E -0.772%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -11.97%E -7.21%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -3.28%E -0.772%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.43%E -1.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.723%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.93%EV -7.61%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.64%EV -12.10%E -3.33%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.90%EV -9.43%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.11%EV -8.47%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.87%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.63%EV -8.71%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.23%EV -10.38%E -6.14%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.25%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.88%EV -10.91%E -6.49%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -11.97%E -7.21%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -11.44%E -6.85%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |