مدرسة الاحتمالات

Basaksehir v Samsunspor

البداية: 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Basaksehir 3–0 Samsunspor

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Basaksehir (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.03%1.89السعر العادل
EV -2.43%
الأفضلية -1.32%
Kelly -2.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.76%53.01%53.02%54.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.641.731.741.8460.98%57.65%57.47%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Samsunspor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.76%4.39السعر العادل
EV +0.132%
الأفضلية +0.030%
Kelly +0.039%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.34%22.67%22.84%23.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.34%24.39%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.21%4.13السعر العادل
EV -0.723%
الأفضلية -0.176%
Kelly -0.233%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.38%24.32%24.15%25.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.823.854.1030.30%26.20%25.97%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.32%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.32%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.54%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.83%EV -0.096%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.63%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -10.91%E -6.49%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:55
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -6.67%E -3.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.28%E -0.772%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -11.97%E -7.21%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -3.28%E -0.772%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:00
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 17:00
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:59
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.43%E -1.32%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.723%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:00
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.93%EV -7.61%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.64%EV -12.10%E -3.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:59
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.90%EV -9.43%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.11%EV -8.47%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:59
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.87%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.63%EV -8.71%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.23%EV -10.38%E -6.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.25%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.88%EV -10.91%E -6.49%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -11.97%E -7.21%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -11.44%E -6.85%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-09 16:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-09 17:00