La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Basaksehir v Samsunspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Basaksehir (Local)
Predicción 53.03%1.89momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.76%53.01%53.02%54.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.731.741.8460.98%57.65%57.47%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Samsunspor (Visitante)
Predicción 22.76%4.39momio equitativo
EV +0.132%
Ventaja +0.030%
Kelly +0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.67%22.84%23.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.34%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.21%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.723%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.233%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%24.32%24.15%25.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.823.854.1030.30%26.20%25.97%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.32%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.32%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +0.132%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.54%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.83%EV -0.096%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.63%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -10.91%E -6.49%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -6.67%E -3.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.28%E -0.772%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -11.97%E -7.21%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -3.28%E -0.772%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.03%E -7.95%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.43%E -1.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.723%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.93%EV -7.61%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.64%EV -12.10%E -3.33%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.90%EV -9.43%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.11%EV -8.47%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.87%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.63%EV -8.71%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.23%EV -10.38%E -6.14%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.25%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.88%EV -10.91%E -6.49%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -11.97%E -7.21%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -11.44%E -6.85%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |