Language:English
Basaksehir v Goztepe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Basaksehir (Local)
Prediction 49.58%2.02fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.76%49.70%49.58%51.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.861.881.9759.52%53.62%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goztepe (Visit)
Prediction 22.63%4.42fair odd
EV +5.22%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%22.52%22.74%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.004.6527.03%24.84%25.00%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%27.79%27.68%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.80%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 49.58%; Goztepe (Visit): 22.63%; Draw: 27.79%. For Goztepe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV +5.22%E +1.12%K +1.43%G +0.075% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 12:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -4.31%E -2.24%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.57%EV +1.37%E +0.307%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.29%EV -2.33%E -1.18%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.57%E -0.360%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -4.95%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.16%EV -4.81%E -2.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.19%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.56%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.56%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 10:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.35%EV -8.78%E -4.77%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.33%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.33%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.48%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -9.77%E -5.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 12:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.89%EV -13.24%E -7.56%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.45%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.34%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -12.20%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.65%EV -10.23%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 12:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 49.95%EV -16.71%E -9.95%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.08%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -16.62%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -14.23%E -8.23%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -15.14%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -16.62%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-07 12:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |