La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Basaksehir v Goztepe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Basaksehir (Local)
Predicción 49.58%2.02momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.76%49.70%49.58%51.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.861.881.9759.52%53.62%53.19%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goztepe (Visitante)
Predicción 22.63%4.42momio equitativo
EV +5.22%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.66%22.52%22.74%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.034.004.6527.03%24.84%25.00%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.523%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.79%27.68%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.80%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV +5.22%E +1.12%K +1.43%G +0.075% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 12:17 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -4.31%E -2.24%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.57%EV +1.37%E +0.307%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.29%EV -2.33%E -1.18%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.57%E -0.360%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -4.95%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| GTbets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.16%EV -4.81%E -2.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.19%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 12:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.56%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.56%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 10:59 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 10:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.35%EV -8.78%E -4.77%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.33%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.33%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.48%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -9.77%E -5.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 12:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.89%EV -13.24%E -7.56%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.45%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.34%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -12.20%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.65%EV -10.23%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:39 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 12:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 49.95%EV -16.71%E -9.95%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.08%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -16.62%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -14.23%E -8.23%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -15.14%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -16.62%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-07 12:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 12:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |