L’École des cotes

Basaksehir v Goztepe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 49.58%2.02cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.76%49.70%49.58%51.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.861.881.9759.52%53.62%53.19%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Goztepe (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.63%4.42cote équitable
EV +5.22%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.075%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.66%22.52%22.74%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.034.004.6527.03%24.84%25.00%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.79%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.375%
Kelly -0.523%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.79%27.68%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.80%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV +5.22%E +1.12%K +1.43%G +0.075%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 12:17
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -4.31%E -2.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.57%EV +1.37%E +0.307%K +0.395%G +0.005%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.22%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 12:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 12:54
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 12:54
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -0.436%E -0.099%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:35
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.29%EV -2.33%E -1.18%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.57%E -0.360%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -4.95%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 12:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 12:55
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:34
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 12:44
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 12:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:35
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.16%EV -4.81%E -2.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 12:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 49.19%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 12:45
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 12:15
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.56%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:35
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.56%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 10:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 10:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 12:44
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 12:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.31%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:44
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.35%EV -8.78%E -4.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:15
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 12:30
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.33%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.523%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 12:15
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.33%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.523%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 12:15
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:44
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 12:35
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.48%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -9.77%E -5.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 12:14
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.89%EV -13.24%E -7.56%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.45%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.34%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -12.20%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.65%EV -10.23%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:39
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:55
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:55
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:55
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.28%E -4.48%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 12:14
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 49.95%EV -16.71%E -9.95%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.08%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -16.62%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-07 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -14.23%E -8.23%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -15.14%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -16.62%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-07 12:53
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:54
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:55
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -5.07%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%0.2%2026-03-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%0.2%2026-03-07 12:55
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%0.2%2026-03-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-03-07 12:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-07 12:45
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-07 12:55