Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Basaksehir v Antalyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prediction 63.85%1.57fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.85%63.82%63.74%65.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.441.441.5375.76%69.40%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Antalyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 15.04%6.65fair odd
EV +8.45%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.115%

assuming max odds 7.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.42%15.14%15.06%16.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.176.257.2118.18%16.20%16.00%13.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd
EV -0.774%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.209%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.04%21.20%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.394.444.7027.78%22.80%22.52%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 63.85%; Antalyaspor (Visit): 15.04%; Draw: 21.11%. For Antalyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.65. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.65%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.42%EV +8.45%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.115%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.93%EV -10.91%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.53%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.53%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 09:30
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.59%EV -4.87%E -3.27%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.76%EV -1.93%E -0.296%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.65%EV -1.62%E -0.347%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.774%E -0.165%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:50
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:19
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -3.43%E -0.535%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -3.43%E -0.535%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.25%EV -6.15%E -4.18%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:20
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.21%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.13%EV -5.39%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -3.94%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -3.94%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.15%E -4.18%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 16:19
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -8.25%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 16:35
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 16:34
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 16:50
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 16:55
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.62%E -7.58%K -26.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-18 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -11.25%E -1.91%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.34%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.81%EV -11.25%E -1.91%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 16:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -4.87%E -3.27%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -13.51%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -14.26%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 16:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -10.62%E -7.58%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.00%E -6.67%K -9.23%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-18 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 63.69%EV -15.72%E -11.91%K -49.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.29%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-18 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%0.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%3.1%2026-03-18 16:30