L’École des cotes

Basaksehir v Antalyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 63.85%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -4.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.85%63.82%63.74%65.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.441.441.5375.76%69.40%69.44%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Antalyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.04%6.65cote équitable
EV +8.45%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.115%

avec la cote maximale 7.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.42%15.14%15.06%16.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.176.257.2118.18%16.20%16.00%13.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.11%4.74cote équitable
EV -0.774%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.209%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.04%21.20%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.394.444.7027.78%22.80%22.52%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.65%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.42%EV +8.45%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.115%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.93%EV -10.91%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 16:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.53%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 09:30
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.53%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 09:30
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.59%EV -4.87%E -3.27%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.76%EV -1.93%E -0.296%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.65%EV -1.62%E -0.347%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 16:50
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.774%E -0.165%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:50
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:19
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 16:19
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -3.43%E -0.535%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -3.43%E -0.535%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.25%EV -6.15%E -4.18%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 16:55
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:19
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:19
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:20
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.21%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.13%EV -5.39%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 16:34
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -3.94%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -3.94%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.15%E -4.18%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 16:19
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -8.25%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:55
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 16:35
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 16:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 16:50
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 16:50
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 16:55
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:54
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.62%E -7.58%K -26.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-18 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -11.25%E -1.91%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 16:55
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.34%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.81%EV -11.25%E -1.91%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 16:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 16:55
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -4.87%E -3.27%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -13.51%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -14.26%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 16:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 16:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -10.62%E -7.58%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.00%E -6.67%K -9.23%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-18 16:20
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.69%EV -15.72%E -11.91%K -49.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.29%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-18 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%0.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%3.1%2026-03-18 16:30