Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Basaksehir v Antalyaspor

Início: 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Basaksehir (Local)

Previsão 63.85%1.57odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -4.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.85%63.82%63.74%65.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.441.441.5375.76%69.40%69.44%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Antalyaspor (Visitante)

Previsão 15.04%6.65odd justa
EV +8.45%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescimento +0.115%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.42%15.14%15.06%16.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.176.257.2118.18%16.20%16.00%13.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.11%4.74odd justa
EV -0.774%
Vantagem -0.165%
Kelly -0.209%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.87%21.04%21.20%23.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.394.444.7027.78%22.80%22.52%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Basaksehir (Local): 63.85%; Antalyaspor (Visitante): 15.04%; Empate: 21.11%. Para Antalyaspor (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.65. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.21, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.65%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.42%EV +8.45%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.115%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.93%EV -10.91%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.53%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.53%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 09:30
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.59%EV -4.87%E -3.27%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.76%EV -1.93%E -0.296%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.65%EV -1.62%E -0.347%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.774%E -0.165%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:50
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:19
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.23%E -0.343%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -3.43%E -0.535%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -3.43%E -0.535%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.25%EV -6.15%E -4.18%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.73%E -0.583%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:20
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.21%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.13%EV -5.39%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -3.94%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -3.94%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.15%E -4.18%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -5.99%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 16:19
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -8.25%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 16:35
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 16:34
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -2.89%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 16:50
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 16:55
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.70%E -6.08%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.62%E -7.58%K -26.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -9.75%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-18 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -11.25%E -1.91%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.34%EV -11.89%E -8.62%K -31.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.81%EV -11.25%E -1.91%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 16:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -9.98%E -7.08%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -12.76%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -4.87%E -3.27%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -13.51%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -14.26%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 16:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.06%E -5.60%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -9.34%E -6.58%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -10.62%E -7.58%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.00%E -6.67%K -9.23%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-18 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 63.69%EV -15.72%E -11.91%K -49.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.29%EV -17.27%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-18 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%0.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-03-18 16:50
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%3.1%2026-03-18 16:30