Language:English
Alanyaspor v Samsunspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alanyaspor (Local)
Prediction 40.28%2.48fair odd
EV -0.910%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.00%40.26%40.28%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.282.4647.62%44.35%43.86%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Samsunspor (Visit)
Prediction 29.63%3.37fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%29.36%29.78%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.153.153.4136.36%31.76%31.75%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.09%3.32fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.684%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.38%29.93%32.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.48%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alanyaspor (Local): 40.28%; Samsunspor (Visit): 29.63%; Draw: 30.09%. For Samsunspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.52%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.93%EV +1.05%E +0.309%K +0.437%G +0.005% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.72%EV -12.45%E -4.28%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.45%EV -0.910%E -0.370%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.92%EV -8.54%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -11.85%E -4.04%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -11.85%E -4.04%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.13%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -14.56%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.13%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -14.56%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 09:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.78%EV -6.15%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -3.39%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.07%EV -4.93%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 03:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -4.94%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -3.39%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -12.15%E -4.16%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -12.99%E -6.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -14.61%E -6.89%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.15%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 14:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.04%EV -15.16%E -5.38%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.84%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -13.47%E -4.61%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.55%EV -14.86%E -5.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -13.40%E -6.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -12.75%E -4.40%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.54%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -13.35%E -4.64%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.85%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.76%EV -11.25%E -3.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.98% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.37% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.65% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |