La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Alanyaspor v Samsunspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alanyaspor (Local)
Predicción 40.28%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.910%
Ventaja -0.370%
Kelly -0.624%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%40.26%40.28%42.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.282.4647.62%44.35%43.86%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Samsunspor (Visitante)
Predicción 29.63%3.37momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.309%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%29.36%29.78%31.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.153.153.4136.36%31.76%31.75%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.09%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.684%
Kelly -0.988%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%30.38%29.93%32.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.48%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.52%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.93%EV +1.05%E +0.309%K +0.437%G +0.005% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.72%EV -12.45%E -4.28%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.45%EV -0.910%E -0.370%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.92%EV -8.54%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -11.85%E -4.04%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 19:35 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -11.85%E -4.04%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.13%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -14.56%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.13%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -14.56%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 15:20 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 09:33 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| GTbets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.78%EV -6.15%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -3.39%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.07%EV -4.93%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 03:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -4.94%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -3.39%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -12.15%E -4.16%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -12.99%E -6.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 12:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -14.61%E -6.89%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.15%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 14:43 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.04%EV -15.16%E -5.38%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.84%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -13.47%E -4.61%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.55%EV -14.86%E -5.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -13.40%E -6.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -12.75%E -4.40%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.54%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -13.35%E -4.64%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.85%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.76%EV -11.25%E -3.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.98% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.37% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.65% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |