النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Alanyaspor v Samsunspor

البداية: 2026-04-27 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Alanyaspor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.28%2.48السعر العادل
EV -0.910%
الأفضلية -0.370%
Kelly -0.624%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.00%40.26%40.28%42.86%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.252.282.4647.62%44.35%43.86%40.65%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Samsunspor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.63%3.37السعر العادل
EV +1.05%
الأفضلية +0.309%
Kelly +0.437%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.44%29.36%29.78%31.29%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.153.153.4136.36%31.76%31.75%29.33%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.09%3.32السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.684%
Kelly -0.988%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.57%30.38%29.93%32.90%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.48%32.26%30.77%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Alanyaspor (المضيف)⁩: ⁨40.28%⁩؛ ⁨Samsunspor (الضيف)⁩: ⁨29.63%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨30.09%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Samsunspor (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.37⁩. عرضت 4 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨3.41⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.05%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.52%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.93%EV +1.05%E +0.309%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.72%EV -12.45%E -4.28%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 09:30
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.45%EV -0.910%E -0.370%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.92%EV -8.54%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:45
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -11.85%E -4.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 19:35
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV +0.460%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -11.85%E -4.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.13%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -14.56%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.13%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.726%E -0.217%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -14.56%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 15:20
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 09:33
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -2.21%E -0.669%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:04
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.78%EV -6.15%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -3.39%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.07%EV -4.93%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 03:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -4.94%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -3.39%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -12.15%E -4.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -12.99%E -6.02%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 09:15
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -14.61%E -6.89%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 09:15
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 09:15
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -2.22%E -0.684%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.15%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 14:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.73%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:29
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 09:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 09:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 14:43
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:04
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-21 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 09:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.04%EV -15.16%E -5.38%K -8.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.84%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -13.47%E -4.61%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.55%EV -14.86%E -5.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-21 09:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -13.40%E -6.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -12.75%E -4.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-21 09:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.54%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -13.35%E -4.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-21 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.85%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.76%EV -11.25%E -3.81%K -5.77%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 23:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%4.7%2026-04-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%4.7%2026-04-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%4.7%2026-04-23 16:14
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%6.0%2026-04-23 16:40
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 37.98%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.37%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.65%13.0%2026-04-24 01:35