Language:English
Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alanyaspor (Local)
Prediction 47.00%2.13fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.90%46.99%46.84%48.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.992.002.0856.82%50.33%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kocaelispor (Visit)
Prediction 23.82%4.20fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.564%
Kelly +0.734%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.90%24.04%26.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.823.854.3029.85%26.21%25.97%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV -0.770%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.321%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%29.11%29.12%30.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.183.203.4035.71%31.46%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alanyaspor (Local): 47.00%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 23.82%; Draw: 29.19%. For Kocaelispor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV +2.42%E +0.564%K +0.734%G +0.018% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-18 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +1.47%E +0.345%K +0.451%G +0.007% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 12:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.90%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV +1.23%E +0.290%K +0.379%G +0.005% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.90%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV +1.23%E +0.290%K +0.379%G +0.005% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.30%E -4.82%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -7.19%E -2.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 12:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.51%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 12:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -9.30%E -4.82%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 12:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.41%EV -4.60%E -2.27%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-18 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.68%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 47.52%EV -17.29%E -9.82%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -18.28%E -6.53%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-18 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.48%EV -9.77%E -5.09%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -12.34%E -3.35%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.20%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-18 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.28%E -6.53%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-18 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 12:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.17% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 2.5% | 2026-03-18 12:50 |