مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor

البداية: 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alanyaspor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.00%2.13السعر العادل
EV -2.25%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -2.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.90%46.99%46.84%48.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.761.992.002.0856.82%50.33%50.00%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kocaelispor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.82%4.20السعر العادل
EV +2.42%
الأفضلية +0.564%
Kelly +0.734%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.18%23.90%24.04%26.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.823.854.3029.85%26.21%25.97%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.19%3.43السعر العادل
EV -0.770%
الأفضلية -0.227%
Kelly -0.321%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.05%29.11%29.12%30.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.183.203.4035.71%31.46%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV +2.42%E +0.564%K +0.734%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 12:45
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +1.47%E +0.345%K +0.451%G +0.007%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-18 12:49
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.90%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV +1.23%E +0.290%K +0.379%G +0.005%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 12:05
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.90%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV +1.23%E +0.290%K +0.379%G +0.005%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.30%E -4.82%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 12:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -7.19%E -2.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 12:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 12:19
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.51%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 12:47
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -9.30%E -4.82%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 12:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 12:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 12:19
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 12:19
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 12:19
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 12:18
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:49
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:49
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 12:20
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.41%EV -4.60%E -2.27%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 12:19
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 12:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 12:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 12:05
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 12:19
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 12:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.68%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 12:34
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.52%EV -17.29%E -9.82%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -18.28%E -6.53%K -10.16%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-18 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.48%EV -9.77%E -5.09%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -12.34%E -3.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 12:34
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 12:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.20%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-18 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.28%E -6.53%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-18 12:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:35
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 12:35
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 12:34
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 12:34
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 12:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-03-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-03-18 12:49
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-03-18 12:45
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%2.5%2026-03-18 12:50