L’École des cotes

Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alanyaspor (Local)

Prévision 47.00%2.13cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.90%46.99%46.84%48.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.992.002.0856.82%50.33%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kocaelispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.82%4.20cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.564%
Kelly +0.734%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.90%24.04%26.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.823.854.3029.85%26.21%25.97%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.19%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.770%
Avantage -0.227%
Kelly -0.321%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.05%29.11%29.12%30.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.183.203.4035.71%31.46%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV +2.42%E +0.564%K +0.734%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 12:45
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +1.47%E +0.345%K +0.451%G +0.007%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-18 12:49
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.90%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV +1.23%E +0.290%K +0.379%G +0.005%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 12:05
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.90%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV +1.23%E +0.290%K +0.379%G +0.005%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.30%E -4.82%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 12:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -7.19%E -2.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 12:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 12:19
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.51%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 12:47
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -9.30%E -4.82%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 12:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 12:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 12:19
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 12:19
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 12:19
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 12:18
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:49
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:49
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 12:20
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.41%EV -4.60%E -2.27%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 12:19
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 12:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 12:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 12:05
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 12:19
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 12:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.68%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 12:34
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.52%EV -17.29%E -9.82%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -18.28%E -6.53%K -10.16%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-18 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.48%EV -9.77%E -5.09%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -12.34%E -3.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 12:34
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 12:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.20%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-18 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.28%E -6.53%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-18 12:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:35
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -2.72%E -1.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:34
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -17.82%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 12:35
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 12:34
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 12:34
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -20.20%E -6.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 12:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-03-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-03-18 12:49
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-03-18 12:45
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%2.5%2026-03-18 12:50