Language:English
Grasshopper Zürich v FC Zurich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grasshopper Zürich (Local)
Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.13%34.91%34.79%36.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.622.7840.82%38.08%38.17%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Zurich (Visit)
Prediction 39.29%2.55fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.72%39.14%39.24%40.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.4645.45%42.32%42.02%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.94%3.86fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -0.992%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.17%25.95%25.97%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.46%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grasshopper Zürich (Local): 34.77%; FC Zurich (Visit): 39.29%; Draw: 25.94%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -2.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.22%EV -3.33%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.64%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.37%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.72%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 08:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.73%E -0.727%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.32%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 20:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.73%E -0.727%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.02%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -13.10%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -13.10%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 21:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 21:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.64%EV -10.63%E -4.14%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -14.80%E -6.04%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.92% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.92% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |