Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Zurich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 18:31 UTC

Score final : Grasshopper Zürich 2–2 FC Zurich

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Prévision 34.77%2.88cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.13%34.91%34.79%36.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.622.7840.82%38.08%38.17%35.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Zurich (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.29%2.55cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.72%39.14%39.24%40.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.382.4645.45%42.32%42.02%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.94%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.727%
Kelly -0.992%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.17%25.95%25.97%26.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.46%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grasshopper Zürich (Local) : 34.77% ; FC Zurich (Visiteur) : 39.29% ; Match nul : 25.94%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -2.73% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.22%EV -3.33%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.64%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.37%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.72%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:58
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 13:20
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.73%E -0.727%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:10
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:09
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:40
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.32%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 20:25
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.73%E -0.727%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:10
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.02%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:11
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -13.10%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -13.10%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:16
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.64%EV -10.63%E -4.14%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 06:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:14
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-04 08:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -14.80%E -6.04%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.3%2026-09-04 13:40
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-09-04 13:45