Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Zurich

Início: 2026-09-05 18:31 UTC

Final: Grasshopper Zürich 2–2 FC Zurich

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Previsão 34.77%2.88odd justa
EV -3.33%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.13%34.91%34.79%36.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.632.622.7840.82%38.08%38.17%35.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Zurich (Visitante)

Previsão 39.29%2.55odd justa
EV -3.35%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.72%39.14%39.24%40.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.382.4645.45%42.32%42.02%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.94%3.86odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -0.727%
Kelly -0.992%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.17%25.95%25.97%26.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.46%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Grasshopper Zürich (Local): 34.77%; FC Zurich (Visitante): 39.29%; Empate: 25.94%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.86. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -2.73%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.22%EV -3.33%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.64%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.37%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.72%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.53%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:25
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:58
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 13:20
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.73%E -0.727%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:10
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:09
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:40
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.32%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 20:25
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.73%E -0.727%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:10
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.02%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:11
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -13.10%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.46%E -3.63%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -13.10%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:16
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.64%EV -10.63%E -4.14%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 06:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -11.33%E -4.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:14
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.60%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-04 08:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -14.80%E -6.04%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.3%2026-09-04 13:40
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-09-04 13:45