Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Winterthur

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 18:32 UTC

Final: Grasshopper Zürich 3–2 FC Winterthur

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Prediction 42.56%2.35fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%42.68%42.55%46.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.112.152.2851.02%47.40%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Winterthur (Visit)

Prediction 31.10%3.22fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +0.800%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%31.01%31.12%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.003.3036.36%32.96%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.32%26.32%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.66%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grasshopper Zürich (Local): 42.56%; FC Winterthur (Visit): 31.10%; Draw: 26.33%. For FC Winterthur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:17
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -0.472%E -0.147%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -16.57%E -8.46%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -0.472%E -0.147%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.03%E -0.643%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 18:29
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -2.65%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.25%E -0.334%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -5.51%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -5.51%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:31
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:29
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:29
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:29
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:29
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:29
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -7.00%E -2.34%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.31%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:29
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.61%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.06%EV -8.87%E -3.03%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:31
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:31
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.52%EV -11.89%E -5.74%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -12.29%E -4.36%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 18:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.37%E -5.93%K -8.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-12 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-12 18:31
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-12 18:31