La escuela de los momios

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Winterthur

Inicio: 2026-05-12 18:32 UTC

Final: Grasshopper Zürich 3–2 FC Winterthur

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Predicción 42.56%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.87%42.68%42.55%46.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.112.152.2851.02%47.40%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Winterthur (Visitante)

Predicción 31.10%3.22momio equitativo
EV +2.64%
Ventaja +0.800%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%31.01%31.12%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.003.3036.36%32.96%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.33%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.455%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.32%26.32%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.66%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:17
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -0.472%E -0.147%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:29
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -16.57%E -8.46%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -0.472%E -0.147%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.03%E -0.643%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 18:29
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -2.65%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.25%E -0.334%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 18:29
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -5.51%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -5.51%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:29
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:31
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:29
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:29
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:29
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:29
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -7.00%E -2.34%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.31%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:29
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.61%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.06%EV -8.87%E -3.03%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 18:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:31
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:31
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 18:30
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.52%EV -11.89%E -5.74%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -12.29%E -4.36%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 18:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.37%E -5.93%K -8.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-12 18:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-12 18:31
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-12 18:31