La scuola delle quote

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Winterthur

Inizio: 2026-05-12 18:32 UTC

Finale: Grasshopper Zürich 3–2 FC Winterthur

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Casa)

Previsione 42.56%2.35quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.87%42.68%42.55%46.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.112.152.2851.02%47.40%46.51%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Winterthur (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.10%3.22quota equa
EV +2.64%
Vantaggio +0.800%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescita +0.030%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.14%31.01%31.12%32.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.033.003.3036.36%32.96%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.33%3.80quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.334%
Kelly -0.455%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.33%26.32%26.32%27.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.66%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.64%E +0.800%K +1.15%G +0.030%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:29
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:17
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV +1.08%E +0.333%K +0.482%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -16.15%E -8.20%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -0.472%E -0.147%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:29
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -16.57%E -8.46%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -0.472%E -0.147%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.03%E -0.643%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 18:29
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -2.65%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.25%E -0.334%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 18:29
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -5.51%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -5.51%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:29
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:31
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:29
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:29
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:29
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:29
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:29
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -7.00%E -2.34%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.31%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:29
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.61%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.06%EV -8.87%E -3.03%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 18:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:31
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 18:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:31
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 18:30
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.52%EV -11.89%E -5.74%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -12.29%E -4.36%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 18:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.87%E -7.44%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.37%E -5.93%K -8.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-12 18:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-12 18:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.74%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-12 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-12 18:31
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-12 18:31