Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.82
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grasshopper Zürich (Local): 34.48%; FC Luzern (Visit): 39.96%; Draw: 25.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -2.76%E -0.978%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -8.25%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.69%E -2.41%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.68%EV -6.21%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.67%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.67%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.02%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.02%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 05:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 03:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.59%E -2.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.59%E -2.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 17:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 03:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 17:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 17:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-20 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.78%E -6.70%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.48%EV -14.83%E -6.00%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.83%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -15.52%E -6.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.93% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |