A Escola das Odds

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Luzern

Início: 2026-04-25 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Previsão 34.48%2.90odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -0.978%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.67%34.48%34.51%35.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.662.702.8240.82%37.62%37.04%35.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Luzern (Visitante)

Previsão 39.96%2.50odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -2.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.08%39.92%39.87%41.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.302.322.4046.51%43.41%43.10%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.56%3.91odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.565%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.45%25.60%25.62%27.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.523.503.8532.26%28.43%28.57%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -2.76%E -0.978%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -8.25%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:44
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 17:20
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.69%E -2.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.68%EV -6.21%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Bovada2.74I 36.50%NM 33.67%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:45
BetUS2.74I 36.50%NM 33.67%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:44
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.02%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:45
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.02%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:00
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 05:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:19
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 03:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:55
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:04
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:14
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 14:54
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:05
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:05
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.59%E -2.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.59%E -2.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:20
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:01
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 19:19
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:24
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:01
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 16:04
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:39
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:19
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 03:24
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.78%E -6.70%K -9.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 03:24
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.48%EV -14.83%E -6.00%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.83%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:09
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -15.52%E -6.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 12:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%5.8%2026-04-23 16:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%5.8%2026-04-23 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%5.8%2026-04-23 16:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 33.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%6.8%2026-04-23 16:25