L’École des cotes

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Luzern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Prévision 34.48%2.90cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.67%34.48%34.51%35.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.662.702.8240.82%37.62%37.04%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Luzern (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.96%2.50cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -2.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.08%39.92%39.87%41.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.322.4046.51%43.41%43.10%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.565%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.45%25.60%25.62%27.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.503.8532.26%28.43%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -2.76%E -0.978%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -8.25%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:44
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 17:20
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.69%E -2.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.68%EV -6.21%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Bovada2.74I 36.50%NM 33.67%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:45
BetUS2.74I 36.50%NM 33.67%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:44
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.02%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:45
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.02%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:00
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 05:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:19
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 03:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:55
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:04
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:05
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:14
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 14:54
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:05
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:05
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.59%E -2.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -7.59%E -2.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:20
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:01
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 19:19
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:24
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 17:01
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 16:04
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:39
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:19
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 03:24
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.78%E -6.70%K -9.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 03:24
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.48%EV -14.83%E -6.00%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.83%EV -12.09%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:09
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -15.52%E -6.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%5.8%2026-04-23 16:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%5.8%2026-04-23 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%5.8%2026-04-23 16:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 33.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%6.8%2026-04-23 16:25