Language:English
FC Zurich v Servette
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Zurich (Local)
Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.03%29.07%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.103.4034.72%32.15%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Servette (Visit)
Prediction 47.23%2.12fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.43%47.35%47.20%48.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.971.962.0555.56%50.84%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.418%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%23.63%23.73%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.823.804.1630.30%26.15%26.32%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zurich (Local): 29.05%; Servette (Visit): 47.23%; Draw: 23.72%. For FC Zurich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.75%E -0.670%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.75%E -0.670%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -6.48%E -3.27%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.89%EV -1.32%E -0.318%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.66%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.48%E -3.27%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.86%EV -6.54%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -9.32%E -4.85%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -3.93%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -6.96%E -3.53%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.24%EV -7.43%E -3.79%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -15.76%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.19%EV -14.98%E -8.32%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -13.57%E -7.41%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -21.72%E -6.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |