L’École des cotes

FC Zurich v Servette

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 16:04 UTC

Score final : FC Zurich 0–2 Servette

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zurich (Local)

Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.515%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.38%29.03%29.07%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.4034.72%32.15%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Servette (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.23%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.43%47.35%47.20%48.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.971.962.0555.56%50.84%51.02%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.318%
Kelly -0.418%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.69%23.63%23.73%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.823.804.1630.30%26.15%26.32%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:00
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.75%E -0.670%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:00
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.75%E -0.670%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -6.48%E -3.27%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.89%EV -1.32%E -0.318%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 15:59
GTbets3.28I 30.49%NM 28.66%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.48%E -3.27%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.86%EV -6.54%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 15:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -9.32%E -4.85%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -3.93%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:59
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:00
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:59
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:00
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 16:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:00
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -6.96%E -3.53%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:00
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.24%EV -7.43%E -3.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 15:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -15.76%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 16:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.19%EV -14.98%E -8.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-16 15:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -13.57%E -7.41%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -21.72%E -6.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%19.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%2.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-05-16 16:00