La escuela de los momiosFC Zurich v Servette
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Zurich (Local)
Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.515%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.03%29.07%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.113.103.4034.72%32.15%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Servette (Visitante)
Predicción 47.23%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.43%47.35%47.20%48.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.971.962.0555.56%50.84%51.02%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.72%4.22momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.318%
Kelly -0.418%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.69%23.63%23.73%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.823.804.1630.30%26.15%26.32%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.75%E -0.670%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -8.37%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.75%E -0.670%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -6.48%E -3.27%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.89%EV -1.32%E -0.318%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| GTbets | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.66%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.48%E -3.27%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.86%EV -6.54%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -9.32%E -4.85%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -3.93%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -6.96%E -3.53%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.24%EV -7.43%E -3.79%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.86%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.79%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -15.76%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -10.26%E -5.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.19%EV -14.98%E -8.32%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -13.57%E -7.41%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -21.72%E -6.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |