Language:English
FC Winterthur v FC Zurich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Winterthur (Local)
Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.796%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.04%40.34%40.34%41.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.282.4547.62%44.11%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Zurich (Visit)
Prediction 33.92%2.95fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.801%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%33.98%33.92%35.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8840.00%37.19%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV -0.927%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%25.68%25.74%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Winterthur (Local): 40.35%; FC Zurich (Visit): 33.92%; Draw: 25.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.927%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.04%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.79%EV -8.13%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.47%E -0.652%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.927%E -0.241%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 15:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.35%EV -7.61%E -3.32%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 15:26 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -11.80%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.13%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 15:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -12.45%E -5.74%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.01%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-02 15:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -20.23%E -6.52%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.33% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 15:51 |