La escuela de los momios

FC Winterthur v FC Zurich

Inicio: 2026-05-02 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Winterthur 2–2 FC Zurich

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Predicción 40.35%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.471%
Kelly -0.796%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.04%40.34%40.34%41.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.282.4547.62%44.11%43.86%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Zurich (Visitante)

Predicción 33.92%2.95momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.801%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.88%33.98%33.92%35.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.702.8840.00%37.19%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.73%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.927%
Ventaja -0.241%
Kelly -0.325%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.70%25.68%25.74%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.04%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.79%EV -8.13%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:24
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.47%E -0.652%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 15:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:20
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:20
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.927%E -0.241%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 15:36
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:24
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:05
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 15:55
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 40.35%EV -7.61%E -3.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:26
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:06
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:35
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:35
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 15:14
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 15:26
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -11.80%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:05
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:05
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.13%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 15:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 15:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 15:26
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 15:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 15:15
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -12.45%E -5.74%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.01%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 15:16
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -20.23%E -6.52%K -9.63%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.33%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02%2.5%2026-05-02 15:51