L’École des cotes

FC Winterthur v FC Zurich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 16:00 UTC

Score final : FC Winterthur 2–2 FC Zurich

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Prévision 40.35%2.48cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.471%
Kelly -0.796%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.04%40.34%40.34%41.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.282.4547.62%44.11%43.86%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Zurich (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.92%2.95cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.801%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.88%33.98%33.92%35.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8840.00%37.19%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.73%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.927%
Avantage -0.241%
Kelly -0.325%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.70%25.68%25.74%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.04%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.79%EV -8.13%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:24
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.47%E -0.652%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 15:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:20
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:20
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.927%E -0.241%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 15:36
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:24
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:05
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 15:55
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 40.35%EV -7.61%E -3.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:26
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:06
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:35
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:35
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 15:14
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 15:26
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -11.80%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:05
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:05
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.13%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 15:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 15:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 15:26
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 15:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 15:15
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -12.45%E -5.74%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.01%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 15:16
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -20.23%E -6.52%K -9.63%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-02 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-02 15:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.33%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02%2.5%2026-05-02 15:51