Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
FC Winterthur v FC Thun
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
FC Winterthur (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 15.72%6.36kurs godziwy
EV -1.76%
Przewaga -0.281%
Kelly -0.335%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.83%15.89%15.64%17.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.765.756.2520.00%17.35%17.39%16.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
FC Thun (Goście)
Prognoza 65.07%1.54kurs godziwy
EV -4.35%
Przewaga -2.96%
Kelly -9.25%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.47
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.43%64.77%65.23%65.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.421.441.4778.13%70.45%69.44%68.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 19.21%5.20kurs godziwy
EV -1.63%
Przewaga -0.319%
Kelly -0.396%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.12
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.55%19.33%19.13%22.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.604.505.1226.67%21.74%22.22%19.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (31 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.01%EV -1.92%E -0.307%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.68%EV -3.49%E -0.568%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.81%EV -1.63%E -0.319%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| GTbets | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.56%EV -4.90%E -0.810%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.06%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.86%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 12:43 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:04 |
| BetUS | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bovada | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:52 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.32%EV -13.46%E -10.12%K -40.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -27.95%E -7.45%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.21%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.34%EV -16.71%E -13.06%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.45%EV -17.39%E -4.04%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -21.41%E -4.28%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.