Langue:Français
FC Winterthur v FC Thun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Winterthur (Local)
Prévision 15.72%6.36cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.281%
Kelly -0.335%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.83%15.89%15.64%17.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.765.756.2520.00%17.35%17.39%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FC Thun (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.07%1.54cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -2.96%
Kelly -9.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%64.77%65.23%65.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.421.441.4778.13%70.45%69.44%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.21%5.20cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.396%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.55%19.33%19.13%22.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.604.505.1226.67%21.74%22.22%19.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Winterthur (Local) : 15.72% ; FC Thun (Visiteur) : 65.07% ; Match nul : 19.21%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.20. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.12, pour une espérance de -1.63% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.01%EV -1.92%E -0.307%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.68%EV -3.49%E -0.568%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.81%EV -1.63%E -0.319%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.56%EV -4.90%E -0.810%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.06%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.86%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 12:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:52 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 16:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.32%EV -13.46%E -10.12%K -40.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -27.95%E -7.45%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.21%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.34%EV -16.71%E -13.06%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.45%EV -17.39%E -4.04%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -21.41%E -4.28%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.