مدرسة الاحتمالاتFC Winterthur v FC Thun
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
FC Winterthur (المضيف)
التنبؤ 15.72%6.36السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -0.281%
Kelly -0.335%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.83%15.89%15.64%17.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.765.756.2520.00%17.35%17.39%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
FC Thun (الضيف)
التنبؤ 65.07%1.54السعر العادل
EV -4.35%
الأفضلية -2.96%
Kelly -9.25%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.47
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.43%64.77%65.23%65.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.421.441.4778.13%70.45%69.44%68.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 19.21%5.20السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -0.319%
Kelly -0.396%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.12
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.55%19.33%19.13%22.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.604.505.1226.67%21.74%22.22%19.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (31 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.01%EV -1.92%E -0.307%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.68%EV -3.49%E -0.568%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.81%EV -1.63%E -0.319%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| GTbets | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.56%EV -4.90%E -0.810%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.06%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.86%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 12:43 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:04 |
| BetUS | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bovada | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:52 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.32%EV -13.46%E -10.12%K -40.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -27.95%E -7.45%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.21%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.34%EV -16.71%E -13.06%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.45%EV -17.39%E -4.04%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -21.41%E -4.28%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.