La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
FC Winterthur v FC Thun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Winterthur (Local)
Predicción 15.72%6.36momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.281%
Kelly -0.335%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.83%15.89%15.64%17.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.765.756.2520.00%17.35%17.39%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Thun (Visitante)
Predicción 65.07%1.54momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -2.96%
Kelly -9.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%64.77%65.23%65.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.421.441.4778.13%70.45%69.44%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.21%5.20momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.396%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.55%19.33%19.13%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.604.505.1226.67%21.74%22.22%19.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.01%EV -1.92%E -0.307%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.68%EV -3.49%E -0.568%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.81%EV -1.63%E -0.319%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| GTbets | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.56%EV -4.90%E -0.810%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.06%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.86%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 12:43 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:04 |
| BetUS | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.94%E -0.788%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bovada | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:52 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.98%E -2.14%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 07:30 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.32%EV -13.46%E -10.12%K -40.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -27.95%E -7.45%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.21%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.34%EV -16.71%E -13.06%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.45%EV -17.39%E -4.04%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -21.41%E -4.28%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.