L’École des cotes

FC Thun v Grasshopper Zürich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Prévision 61.47%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.88%61.51%61.51%63.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.491.501.6075.76%66.90%66.67%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grasshopper Zürich (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.25%6.15cote équitable
EV +7.26%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 6.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.61%16.23%16.16%18.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.615.506.6020.41%17.82%18.18%15.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.28%4.49cote équitable
EV +0.270%
Avantage +0.060%
Kelly +0.077%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.78%22.26%22.33%24.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.104.5027.78%24.52%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.60%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.61%EV +7.26%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.094%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.79%EV -5.75%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 16:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +5.63%E +0.867%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +5.63%E +0.867%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +1.57%E +0.251%K +0.299%G +0.005%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:30
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 14.97%EV +1.41%E +0.226%K +0.269%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.758%E +0.122%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:45
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV +0.270%E +0.060%K +0.077%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 16:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:35
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:53
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:55
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:55
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:50
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -1.65%E -1.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.32%EV -5.58%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.43%EV -13.55%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 11:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -5.74%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:30
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 16:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 16:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 16:45
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.99%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 16:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:35
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:03
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:38
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 16:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 16:28
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -19.78%E -5.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.41%E -5.65%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -12.24%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 17:04
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -12.72%E -8.96%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -12.24%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 16:35
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 62.82%EV -18.86%E -14.29%K -58.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.36%EV -12.24%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.82%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-14 16:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:24
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 16:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:24
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.52%EV -10.26%E -7.03%K -22.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.83%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.49%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.89%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -17.12%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -10.87%E -7.50%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -20.37%E -4.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-03-14 16:55