مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Thun v Grasshopper Zürich

البداية: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Thun (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.47%1.63السعر العادل
EV -1.65%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -2.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.88%61.51%61.51%63.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.491.501.6075.76%66.90%66.67%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grasshopper Zürich (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.25%6.15السعر العادل
EV +7.26%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
النمو +0.094%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.61%16.23%16.16%18.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.615.506.6020.41%17.82%18.18%15.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.28%4.49السعر العادل
EV +0.270%
الأفضلية +0.060%
Kelly +0.077%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.78%22.26%22.33%24.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.084.104.5027.78%24.52%24.39%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.60%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.61%EV +7.26%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.094%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.79%EV -5.75%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 16:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +5.63%E +0.867%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +5.63%E +0.867%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +1.57%E +0.251%K +0.299%G +0.005%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:30
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 14.97%EV +1.41%E +0.226%K +0.269%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.758%E +0.122%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:45
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV +0.270%E +0.060%K +0.077%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 16:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:35
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:53
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:55
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:55
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -2.49%E -0.415%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:50
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -1.65%E -1.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.32%EV -5.58%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.43%EV -13.55%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 11:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -5.74%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:30
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 16:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 16:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 16:45
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.99%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 16:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:35
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:03
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:38
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 16:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 16:28
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -19.78%E -5.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.41%E -5.65%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -12.24%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 17:04
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -12.72%E -8.96%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -12.24%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 16:35
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 62.82%EV -18.86%E -14.29%K -58.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.36%EV -12.24%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.82%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-14 16:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:24
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 16:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:24
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.52%EV -10.26%E -7.03%K -22.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.83%EV -14.68%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.49%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.89%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -17.12%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.74%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -10.87%E -7.50%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -20.37%E -4.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 16:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-03-14 16:55