默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Thun v FC Luzern

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 17:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Thun (主队)

预测 51.01%1.96公平赔率
EV -2.58%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -2.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
48.82%51.04%50.98%53.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.791.801.9160.24%56.01%55.56%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Luzern (客队)

预测 25.64%3.90公平赔率
EV +2.57%
优势 +0.642%
Kelly +0.856%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.77%25.54%25.62%27.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.673.604.0031.25%27.26%27.78%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.35%4.28公平赔率
EV -0.754%
优势 -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布
22.78%23.42%23.39%25.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.883.904.2530.30%25.78%25.64%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Thun (主队):51.01%;FC Luzern (客队):25.64%;平局:23.35%。 对于“FC Luzern (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.90。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.00,对应+2.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 16:46
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -13.29%E -7.82%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -10.10%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:00
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV +1.29%E +0.326%K +0.436%G +0.006%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.08%EV -4.49%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:00
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -9.39%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -3.59%E -0.954%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.13%EV -3.60%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -4.61%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.90%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -0.754%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -0.754%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -0.754%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 16:59
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.10%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:59
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.93%E -4.43%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -13.60%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.50%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.88%EV -13.60%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.83%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -13.33%E -3.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.57%EV -11.25%E -6.47%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -17.10%E -4.82%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -22.94%E -6.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.4%2026-02-28 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.57%EV -15.33%E -9.24%K -23.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.44%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.99%EV -18.27%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -17.94%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-28 17:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-02-28 17:00