Die Schule der Quoten

FC Thun v FC Luzern

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-28 17:02 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

FC Thun (Heim)

Prognose 51.01%1.96faire Quote
EV -2.58%
Vorteil -1.35%
Kelly -2.83%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.82%51.04%50.98%53.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.661.791.801.9160.24%56.01%55.56%52.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

FC Luzern (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.64%3.90faire Quote
EV +2.57%
Vorteil +0.642%
Kelly +0.856%
Wachstum +0.022%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.77%25.54%25.62%27.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.673.604.0031.25%27.26%27.78%25.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.35%4.28faire Quote
EV -0.754%
Vorteil -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.78%23.42%23.39%25.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.883.904.2530.30%25.78%25.64%23.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 16:46
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -13.29%E -7.82%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV +2.57%E +0.642%K +0.856%G +0.022%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -10.10%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:00
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV +1.29%E +0.326%K +0.436%G +0.006%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.08%EV -4.49%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:00
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -9.39%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -3.59%E -0.954%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.13%EV -3.60%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -4.61%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.90%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -0.754%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -0.754%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:00
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -0.754%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 16:59
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 16:59
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.10%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.93%E -4.43%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -13.60%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.50%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.88%EV -13.60%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.83%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -13.33%E -3.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.57%EV -11.25%E -6.47%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -17.10%E -4.82%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -22.94%E -6.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.4%2026-02-28 17:00
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.57%EV -15.33%E -9.24%K -23.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.44%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.99%EV -18.27%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -17.94%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-02-28 17:00