The School of Odds

FC Thun v BSC Young Boys

2026-08-01 18:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%39.98%39.96%41.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.90%43.48%41.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

BSC Young Boys (Visit)

Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.36%35.60%35.62%36.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.602.7542.55%39.01%38.46%36.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -0.769%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%24.41%24.42%25.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.733.754.0028.99%26.84%26.67%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.67%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:15
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:44
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:45
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 13:20
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -7.27%E -3.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:10
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -7.27%E -3.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:10
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 13:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 13:21
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 18:35
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:15
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 17:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 17:09
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:44
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 17:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 17:10
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 13:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 17:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 17:09
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -14.06%E -6.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 13:15
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -14.06%E -6.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 17:11
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -16.06%E -7.65%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 13:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.96%EV -16.06%E -7.65%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.71%EV -16.33%E -6.95%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.33%EV -15.74%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-26 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%10.6%2026-07-26 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%10.6%2026-07-26 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%10.6%2026-07-26 19:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.88%13.2%2026-07-26 17:10