La escuela de los momios

FC Thun v BSC Young Boys

2026-08-01 18:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Predicción 39.97%2.50momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.14%39.98%39.96%41.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.90%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

BSC Young Boys (Visitante)

Predicción 35.61%2.81momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.36%35.60%35.62%36.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.602.7542.55%39.01%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.42%4.09momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.577%
Kelly -0.769%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.00%24.41%24.42%25.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.733.754.0028.99%26.84%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.67%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:15
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:44
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:45
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 13:20
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -7.27%E -3.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:10
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -7.27%E -3.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:10
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 13:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 13:21
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 18:35
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:15
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 17:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 17:09
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:44
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 17:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 17:10
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 13:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 17:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 17:09
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -14.06%E -6.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 13:15
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -14.06%E -6.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 17:11
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -16.06%E -7.65%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 13:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.96%EV -16.06%E -7.65%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.71%EV -16.33%E -6.95%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.33%EV -15.74%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-26 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.77%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%9.3%2026-07-26 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.77%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%9.3%2026-07-26 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.77%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%9.3%2026-07-26 20:06
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 38.72%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%10.4%2026-07-26 20:11