L’École des cotes

FC Thun v BSC Young Boys

2026-08-01 18:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Prévision 39.97%2.50cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.14%39.98%39.96%41.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.90%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

BSC Young Boys (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.61%2.81cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.36%35.60%35.62%36.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.602.7542.55%39.01%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.42%4.09cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.577%
Kelly -0.769%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.00%24.41%24.42%25.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.733.754.0028.99%26.84%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.67%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:15
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:44
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:45
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 13:20
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -7.27%E -3.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:10
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -7.27%E -3.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:10
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -2.08%E -0.758%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 13:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 13:21
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 18:35
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:15
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 17:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 17:09
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:44
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 17:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 17:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 17:10
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 13:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 17:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 17:09
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -10.99%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -14.06%E -6.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 13:15
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -14.06%E -6.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 17:11
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -16.06%E -7.65%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 13:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.96%EV -16.06%E -7.65%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.71%EV -16.33%E -6.95%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.33%EV -15.74%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-26 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.77%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%9.3%2026-07-26 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.77%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%9.3%2026-07-26 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.77%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%9.3%2026-07-26 20:06
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 38.72%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%10.4%2026-07-26 20:11