The School of Odds

FC St Gallen v FC Zurich

2026-07-26 14:30 — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: FC St Gallen (Local)

1.6460.98%Min
1.7258.14%Mean
1.7258.14%Median
1.8055.56%Max
51.18%1.954Min
53.46%1.871Max
52.67%1.898Mean
52.54%1.903Median
52.54%1.903IQM
52.70%1.897Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 52.54%

EV -5.43%Edge -3.02%Kelly -6.79%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FC Zurich (Visit)

3.2530.77%Min
3.6327.57%Mean
3.7526.67%Median
3.9025.64%Max
23.85%4.193Min
26.01%3.844Max
24.48%4.085Mean
24.60%4.065Median
24.60%4.065IQM
24.51%4.080Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 24.60%

EV -4.07%Edge -1.04%Kelly -1.40%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.6027.78%Min
3.9325.43%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.3023.26%Max
22.19%4.506Min
23.90%4.184Max
22.85%4.377Mean
22.86%4.374Median
22.86%4.374IQM
22.78%4.389Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 22.86%

EV -1.69%Edge -0.393%Kelly -0.512%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC St Gallen (Local) ▼FC Zurich (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.80I 55.56% NM 53.02%EV -5.43% E -3.02% K -6.79% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.79%EV -5.30% E -1.38% K -1.86% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 22.19%EV -1.69% E -0.393% K -0.512% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 02:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56% NM 51.98%EV -5.43% E -3.02% K -6.79% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.62%EV -6.53% E -1.72% K -2.33% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.39%EV -8.55% E -2.14% K -2.85% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 07:20
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50% NM 52.23%EV -7.01% E -3.96% K -9.10% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.65%EV -7.76% E -2.07% K -2.82% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.11%EV -8.55% E -2.14% K -2.85% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 16:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47% NM 53.46%EV -8.58% E -4.93% K -11.60% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.85%EV -4.07% E -1.04% K -1.40% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.69%EV -6.26% E -1.53% K -2.02% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 02:50
SportsBet1.73I 57.80% NM 52.97%EV -9.11% E -5.26% K -12.48% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.12%EV -6.53% E -1.72% K -2.33% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.91%EV -8.55% E -2.14% K -2.85% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 02:50
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14% NM 52.27%EV -9.63% E -5.60% K -13.38% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.97%EV -11.45% E -3.18% K -4.40% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.76%EV -9.69% E -2.45% K -3.29% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-02 10:19
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82% NM 53.24%EV -10.68% E -6.28% K -15.26% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.13%EV -7.76% E -2.07% K -2.82% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.63%EV -8.55% E -2.14% K -2.85% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 02:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52% NM 51.80%EV -11.73% E -6.98% K -17.26% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.60%EV -16.37% E -4.81% K -6.82% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.60%EV -11.98% E -3.11% K -4.20% G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-30 16:29
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 51.52%EV -12.26% E -7.34% K -18.30% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.58%EV -13.91% E -3.97% K -5.56% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.90%EV -17.69% E -4.91% K -6.81% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-04 02:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88% NM 51.40%EV -12.26% E -7.34% K -18.30% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.01%EV -18.83% E -5.70% K -8.19% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.59%EV -13.12% E -3.45% K -4.69% G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-01 01:29
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98% NM 51.18%EV -13.84% E -8.44% K -21.62% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 25.83%EV -20.06% E -6.17% K -8.91% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.00%EV -16.55% E -4.53% K -6.25% G +0.000%19.1%2026-06-30 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerFC St Gallen (Local)FC Zurich (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-01 07:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-01 07:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-01 07:29