Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St Gallen v FC Zurich

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Final: FC St Gallen 2–1 FC Zurich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St Gallen (Local)

Prediction 62.82%1.59fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.33%62.36%63.14%64.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.501.481.5770.92%66.77%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zurich (Visit)

Prediction 17.16%5.83fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.592%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.83%17.51%16.93%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.105.006.0023.81%19.61%20.00%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.02%5.00fair odd
EV -0.519%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.31%20.13%19.93%22.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.404.9725.00%22.55%22.73%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC St Gallen (Local): 62.82%; FC Zurich (Visit): 17.16%; Draw: 20.02%. For FC Zurich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.96%E +0.493%K +0.592%G +0.018%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.33%E -0.232%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.72%EV -1.50%E -0.262%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.31%EV -0.519%E -0.104%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 14:05
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.72%EV -2.62%E -1.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.11%EV -4.08%E -0.729%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.17%EV -9.53%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:21
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:21
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.46%EV -5.14%E -3.40%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -7.34%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.34%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:06
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19%EV -8.93%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.92%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -11.42%E -8.10%K -27.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -15.92%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -2.62%E -1.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.78%E -3.46%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -19.94%E -4.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%EV -1.37%E -0.870%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -3.25%E -2.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -19.35%E -4.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -3.25%E -2.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -19.35%E -4.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:36
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.96%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -21.07%E -4.58%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -27.93%E -6.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 13:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-07-26 14:21

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