Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC St Gallen v FC Zurich

Inicio: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Final: FC St Gallen 2–1 FC Zurich

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC St Gallen (Local)

Predicción 62.82%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.870%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.33%62.36%63.14%64.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.501.481.5770.92%66.77%67.57%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Zurich (Visitante)

Predicción 17.16%5.83momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.493%
Kelly +0.592%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.83%17.51%16.93%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.205.105.006.0023.81%19.61%20.00%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.02%5.00momio equitativo
EV -0.519%
Ventaja -0.104%
Kelly -0.131%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.31%20.13%19.93%22.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.404.9725.00%22.55%22.73%20.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC St Gallen (Local): 62.82%; FC Zurich (Visitante): 17.16%; Empate: 20.02%. Para FC Zurich (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.83. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.96%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.96%E +0.493%K +0.592%G +0.018%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.33%E -0.232%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.72%EV -1.50%E -0.262%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.31%EV -0.519%E -0.104%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 14:05
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.72%EV -2.62%E -1.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.11%EV -4.08%E -0.729%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.17%EV -9.53%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:21
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:21
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.46%EV -5.14%E -3.40%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -7.34%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.34%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:06
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19%EV -8.93%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.92%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -11.42%E -8.10%K -27.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -15.92%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -2.62%E -1.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.78%E -3.46%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -19.94%E -4.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%EV -1.37%E -0.870%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -3.25%E -2.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -19.35%E -4.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -3.25%E -2.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -19.35%E -4.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:36
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.96%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -21.07%E -4.58%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -27.93%E -6.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 13:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-07-26 14:21