Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC St Gallen v FC Zurich

Início: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Final: FC St Gallen 2–1 FC Zurich

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC St Gallen (Local)

Previsão 62.82%1.59odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.870%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.33%62.36%63.14%64.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.411.501.481.5770.92%66.77%67.57%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Zurich (Visitante)

Previsão 17.16%5.83odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +0.493%
Kelly +0.592%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.83%17.51%16.93%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.205.105.006.0023.81%19.61%20.00%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.02%5.00odd justa
EV -0.519%
Vantagem -0.104%
Kelly -0.131%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.31%20.13%19.93%22.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.434.404.9725.00%22.55%22.73%20.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC St Gallen (Local): 62.82%; FC Zurich (Visitante): 17.16%; Empate: 20.02%. Para FC Zurich (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.83. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.96%E +0.493%K +0.592%G +0.018%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.33%E -0.232%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.72%EV -1.50%E -0.262%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.31%EV -0.519%E -0.104%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.43%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -3.91%E -0.697%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 14:05
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.72%EV -2.62%E -1.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.11%EV -4.08%E -0.729%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.17%EV -9.53%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:21
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:21
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.46%EV -5.14%E -3.40%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -7.34%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.34%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:06
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19%EV -8.93%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.91%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.20%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.92%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.92%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -11.42%E -8.10%K -27.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -15.92%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -2.62%E -1.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.78%E -3.46%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -19.94%E -4.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -17.63%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%EV -1.37%E -0.870%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:36
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -1.99%E -1.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -18.49%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -14.93%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -3.25%E -2.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -19.35%E -4.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -3.25%E -2.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -19.35%E -4.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 13:36
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.96%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -21.07%E -4.58%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -27.93%E -6.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.93%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 13:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-07-26 14:21