默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC St Gallen v FC Lugano

开赛时间: 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC St Gallen (主队)

预测 46.44%2.15公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -3.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
44.77%46.40%46.46%47.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.992.002.0855.56%50.17%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Lugano (客队)

预测 27.38%3.65公平赔率
EV +1.29%
优势 +0.349%
Kelly +0.479%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.29%27.42%27.40%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.303.253.7032.26%30.32%30.77%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.18%3.82公平赔率
EV -1.82%
优势 -0.486%
Kelly -0.662%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.39%26.18%26.14%27.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.68%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC St Gallen (主队):46.44%;FC Lugano (客队):27.38%;平局:26.18%。 对于“FC Lugano (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.65。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.70,对应+1.29%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +1.29%E +0.349%K +0.479%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:19
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.01%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.076%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 19:15
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.97%E -4.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -0.897%E -0.248%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 15:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:24
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:08
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:10
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:04
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.40%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.54%EV -7.74%E -2.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.07%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 11:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.82%E -0.486%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 11:45
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.04%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -10.37%E -5.37%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.76%E -6.19%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.86%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.78%EV -17.53%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 01:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.83%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.84%E -6.08%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 19:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%2.7%2026-03-14 19:25