L’École des cotes

FC St Gallen v FC Lugano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC St Gallen (Local)

Prévision 46.44%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -3.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%46.40%46.46%47.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.992.002.0855.56%50.17%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lugano (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.38%3.65cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.349%
Kelly +0.479%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%27.42%27.40%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.253.7032.26%30.32%30.77%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.486%
Kelly -0.662%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%26.18%26.14%27.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.68%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +1.29%E +0.349%K +0.479%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:19
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.01%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.076%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 19:15
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.97%E -4.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -0.897%E -0.248%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:15
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 15:24
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 15:25
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:24
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:30
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:08
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:10
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 17:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:05
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:04
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.40%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.54%EV -7.74%E -2.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.07%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 11:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.82%E -0.486%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 11:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 19:24
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.04%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:35
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -10.37%E -5.37%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.76%E -6.19%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 19:05
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 19:25
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.86%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.78%EV -17.53%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 01:50
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.83%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.84%E -6.08%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%2.7%2026-03-14 19:25