La escuela de los momios

FC St Gallen v FC Lugano

Inicio: 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC St Gallen (Local)

Predicción 46.44%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%46.40%46.46%47.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.992.002.0855.56%50.17%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lugano (Visitante)

Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.349%
Kelly +0.479%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%27.42%27.40%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.303.253.7032.26%30.32%30.77%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.486%
Kelly -0.662%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.39%26.18%26.14%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.68%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +1.29%E +0.349%K +0.479%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:19
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.01%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.076%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 19:15
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.97%E -4.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -0.897%E -0.248%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:15
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 15:24
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 15:25
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.44%E -0.401%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:24
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:30
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:08
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:10
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.68%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 17:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:05
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:04
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.40%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.54%EV -7.74%E -2.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.07%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 11:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.82%E -0.486%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 11:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 19:24
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.04%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:35
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -10.37%E -5.37%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.76%E -6.19%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 19:05
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 19:25
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.86%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.78%EV -17.53%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:49
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 01:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 01:50
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.83%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.84%E -6.08%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%2.7%2026-03-14 19:25