La scuola delle quote

FC Luzern v FC Winterthur

Inizio: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Luzern (Casa)

Previsione 71.20%1.40quota equa
EV -5.31%
Vantaggio -3.99%
Kelly -16.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.66%71.23%71.04%73.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.291.301.3384.75%77.36%76.92%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Winterthur (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.66%7.90quota equa
EV +10.80%
Vantaggio +1.23%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.151%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.88%12.70%12.77%14.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.277.508.7516.67%13.75%13.33%11.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.14%6.20quota equa
EV +4.90%
Vantaggio +0.754%
Kelly +0.891%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.84%16.08%16.19%19.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.555.506.5022.22%18.02%18.18%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +10.80%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.151%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -3.17%E -0.529%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 15:15
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.45%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.63%EV +1.94%E +0.241%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.93%EV -10.76%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:25
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.10%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.84%EV +4.90%E +0.754%K +0.891%G +0.044%3.6%2026-03-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.10%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.84%EV +4.90%E +0.754%K +0.891%G +0.044%3.6%2026-03-15 14:55
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.62%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV -4.78%E -0.811%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 12:35
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:10
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.25%EV -0.593%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.48%EV +0.218%E +0.035%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.96%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -1.23%E -0.157%K -0.180%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.06%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 14:15
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -1.23%E -0.157%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.14%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.66%EV -1.86%E -0.240%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.21%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:15
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.17%E -0.529%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:19
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.65%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -14.47%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 12:20
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 15:25
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.00%E -8.80%K -44.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.00%E -8.80%K -44.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:20
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.29%E -0.850%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.17%E -0.529%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 15:20
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.52%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.61%EV -6.54%E -0.887%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 16.86%EV -10.92%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:20
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.19%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:20
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 71.31%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -8.19%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.70%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -10.09%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -8.01%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:20
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 70.70%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -10.09%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -8.01%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:20
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 70.53%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.63%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:19
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 70.99%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 07:50
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 08:10
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 08:10
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 05:49
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 15:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -11.00%E -8.80%K -44.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -27.38%E -6.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.71%EV -12.43%E -10.10%K -54.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -14.52%E -2.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -14.47%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 15:20
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 71.11%EV -15.99%E -13.55%K -88.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.43%EV -14.52%E -2.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.45%EV -17.70%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.05%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -16.42%E -2.49%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 15:21
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.57%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -4.78%E -0.811%K -0.977%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.69%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.47%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 15:20
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.99%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -24.02%E -4.00%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.32%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -24.02%E -4.00%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-15 15:15
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-03-15 15:10
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.08%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%2.1%2026-03-15 15:25